1) School trustee Joyce Bateman was a late entrant for the Conservatives after Ray Hall's campaign was scrubbed in the first days of the campaign, which only happened ...
2) ... after Bateman switched from the Liberals. She had not built a party base, so how dedicated was the Winnipeg South CPC constituency team to run a short campaign and knock off the "Liberal heavyweight" (CBC's label) ?
3) Neville's vote was down by almost 1700 votes but all anyone talked about as a reason for her loss that I heard, was 'vote split'. The NDP vote went up by 2500. The Green Party was down by 1500. We all know they showed up to vote and where it likely went. So the votes that "split" from Neville and went NDP, might have been 1000 tops. But...
4) Bateman added 1365 votes to the Tory ledger over the vote count of Trevor Kennard last time out. Her margin might well have been there were 150 Liberal families that rejected Iggy and went blue with Bateman, with another 1000 people who hadn't voted last time ... You get the point. Bateman's win was the result of hard work and appealing past the Conservative base no matter how you cut it. But there was one other factor.
5) In the early days of the campaign, before she had announced, Bateman was the answer to a question Global TV's Nelly Gonzalez tried to slide past St Boniface MP Shelly Glover, whose remark about Neville the politician, the MSM tried to turn into a scandalous insult:
Nelly Gonzalez: ... we know that Anita Neville is...is...we know there's a mystery candidate that hasn't been announced yet, if it's going to be Joyce Bateman or other names.
Shelly Glover: Sure.
Nelly Gonzalez: What do you know about that and what do you think the chances are for the party to, uh, regain that seat, Winnipeg Centre...North.
Shelly Glover: "Well, Anita Neville is in trouble. I've only been in Parliament for two-and-a-half years, Nellie, and I'll tell ya, there are a lot of shenanigans going on in Parliament. We need some ... some fresh blood. We need some new people who come with new ideas and who are willing to stand up for their constituents."
" I"m afraid Miss Neville has passed her expiry date...
No one mentioned tonight, that it looks like Shelly Glover was right all along.
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